3DMAX vs Astralis - PGL Bucharest 2026 Semifinal

Tournament form

Astralis are the hottest team at this event. They opened with a 2–0 sweep over MIBR, then beat B8 2–1, then dismantled The MongolZ 2–0 — including a dominant 13–4 scoreline on Mirage. Their structure, CT-side consistency, and individual output from jabbi have all been exceptional. 3DMAX went 3–1, winning against Wildcard and progressing, but their path was less dominant. Their recent form outside this event has also been trending downward — losses to Falcons, Vitality, FaZe, and paiN in recent months paint a picture of a team struggling to translate potential into results against top opposition.

Key player: jabbi

Astralis's jabbi holds the highest individual rating at this event — 1.40 across 7 maps heading into the quarter-finals. In the opening win over MIBR he posted 94.5 ADR and a 1.74 rating, then followed that with a 1.90-rated performance against The MongolZ. When jabbi is performing at this level, Astralis are a genuinely dangerous team. 3DMAX have no equivalent individual carrying at that output right now.

Head to head

The H2H record has shifted decisively in Astralis's favour. In 4 recent meetings, Astralis have won 3 — including a 2–0 at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 in February and a 2–0 at PGL Masters Bucharest 2025. 3DMAX's only recent win over Astralis was a 2–1 at ESL Pro League Season 19, which is now over a year old. The trend is clear: Astralis own this matchup in its current form.

Odds & betting angles

Expect Astralis to be priced around 1.40–1.55, implying a 65–71% win probability. Given their 3–0 Swiss run, 75% H2H win rate in recent meetings, superior individual form, and 3DMAX's recent inconsistency, that pricing reflects fair to slightly conservative value on Astralis. The 2–0 sweep market is worth considering given Astralis's dominant map scores in this tournament — three of their last four series wins have been 2–0. 3DMAX moneyline at 2.50–3.00+ is only viable if you're specifically backing their early-round aggression to disrupt Astralis's structure on a single map.

Prediction & tip

Astralis win 2–0 or 2–1. They are the form team of the tournament, carry the individual edge in jabbi, and hold a commanding recent H2H advantage. 3DMAX are capable of taking a map but lack the consistency to run a full BO3 against Astralis in this shape.

• Confidence: 72%.
• Top tip: Astralis to win the series.
• Value tip: Astralis 2–0 (if priced at 1.80+) — their map score dominance in this tournament makes a clean sweep realistic.
• Avoid: 3DMAX moneyline — declining form and 1–3 recent H2H record make this a low-value play.