Aurora Gaming vs The MongolZ - BLAST Open Spring2026

Aurora's recent month has been a statement. A 70% winrate, scalps against FaZe and FURIA, and a roster that looks genuinely dangerous heading into the playoffs. The MongolZ, by contrast, are a team of contradictions right now. Three wins in five is solid on paper, but a half-year winrate sitting at 53% tells a story of inconsistency that Aurora can exploit. The Vitality loss five days ago was especially telling.

The map pool is where this gets interesting. The MongolZ will ban Anubis immediately, removing Aurora's single strongest map, but that move also narrows their own options. They aggressively ban Train too, leaving a pool that funnels both teams toward familiar ground. Aurora's Dust2 is a legitimate weapon at 67% across 24 maps, and The MongolZ have no clean answer for it. If Aurora can force Dust2 into the series, they hold a structural advantage that the head-to-head record simply does not reflect.

Yes, The MongolZ own a brutal 78% H2H winrate over Aurora historically, and that psychological weight is real. But form beats history at playoff time more often than not, and right now Aurora are the sharper team. The MongolZ are beatable, their consistency is cracking, and Aurora have the map pool to expose it.

Aurora to win 2-1