28.02.2026 15:00 CET


This is a best-of-three DreamLeague Season 28 series between Aurora and Xtreme Gaming. According to the pre-match market, Aurora are favourites, but Xtreme Gaming are live underdogs — and this feels like a matchup where maps and momentum swings are important rather than a simple favourite wipe-out.
📊 Odds & Market Expectation
Typical moneyline prices for this series are:
That implies rough win probabilities of:
So the market expects Aurora to win most of the time, but Xtreme are priced with a real chance to take maps or upset the series — not just a token longshot.
🧠 Team Analysis – Aurora
Aurora have shown strong recent form in DreamLeague. Their strengths include:
Tempo control in early game: They often secure early objectives and snowball it into mid-game advantages.
Aggressive pacing: Aurora push lanes and take fights effectively, especially when ahead.
Map control: When leading in net worth, they convert it cleanly into Roshan, tower, and map dominance.
Aurora’s core strengths make them reliable in drafts where lane presence and early tempo matter. When they take map leads, they tend to close games without making big mistakes.
🧠 Team Analysis – Xtreme Gaming
Xtreme Gaming bring a more tempo-focused and matchup-adaptive style:
Early aggression: They seek to punish draft mistakes and win early teamfights.
Flexible drafting: Xtreme can pivot strategies rapidly, making them tricky to prepare against.
Snowball potential: When they get ahead in lanes, they can extend leads aggressively.
Their weakness tends to be consistency — if they fall behind in net worth or lose early teamfights, they can struggle to recover against disciplined teams like Aurora.
Xtreme’s upset path likely requires strong early map control, winning key objectives before Aurora stabilize.
📈 Likely Outcomes
Given implied probabilities and current form:
🎯 Aurora 2–1: Most realistic outcome. Aurora take the series, but Xtreme steal a map through early tempo or draft surprises.
📊 Aurora 2–0: Very possible if Aurora control early fights and slow Xtreme’s aggressive starts.
🔥 Xtreme 2–1: Underdog upset scenario — Xtreme hit early tempo and force Aurora into uncomfortable drafts.
❗ Xtreme 2–0: Least likely — would require near-perfect execution from Xtreme and multiple missteps from Aurora.
This distribution reflects that Aurora are favoured, but Xtreme Gaming aren’t priced out of a close series.
💰 Betting Angles & Value Plays
📌 Core Pick — Aurora to win the series
📈 Value Play — Aurora 2–1
🔥 Maps Play — Over 2.5 maps
📊 Underdog Map Value — Xtreme to take at least one map
🔮 Final Tipster Take
This feels like a competitive, tactical BO3 where Aurora have the edge, but Xtreme Gaming can make it gritty if they secure early momentum.
Prediction:
rand1919
rand1919
Leaderboard rank: 0
Points
+36
Correct/incorrect
79/43
Pick %
65%
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