Fnatic vs Sashi — Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026

Overview

This is a BO1 group stage match in the Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 online qualifier, a Tier 2 event with a prize pool of approximately $34,000. Both teams are mid-tier European sides competing for progression in a 16-team online stage. At this level and format, BO1 variance is high — a single map result can flip in any direction regardless of ranking. That said, the data does give Fnatic the edge.

Rankings & roster

Fnatic sit at HLTV rank #45 with 21 points and Valve rank #74, playing KRIMZ, fEAR, jambo, jackasmo, and Br4tkO. Sashi are at HLTV rank #84 with 10 points and Valve rank #68 — a gap of roughly 40 HLTV spots in Fnatic's favour. However, Sashi's Valve ranking is marginally higher than Fnatic's, reflecting more recent match activity. Sashi's current roster features acoR, Cabbi, MistR, Beccie, and Fessor — a Danish lineup that has undergone significant instability in early 2026, with Zyphon benched in February and Mol011 released in March, leaving acoR as the key addition.

Recent form

Fnatic have had a difficult 2026 so far — currently sitting at their worst-ever HLTV ranking of 69th as of early April. They lost blameF to BIG at the start of the year and have been adjusting around KRIMZ and the newer players. Their results have been mixed, with no notable deep runs at tier-1 or tier-2 events in recent months. Sashi, by contrast, had a 4W–1L record in their last 5 matches heading into late March, showing solid form at the tier-2 and tier-3 level. Their roster chemistry has been disrupted by the recent changes, but Cabbi remains one of the more reliable fraggers in the Danish scene at this level and acoR adds genuine star power at the AWP position.

Head to head

These two met for the first time in DraculaN Season 6 in late March 2026 — a BO3 that Sashi won. It was their only recorded H2H meeting. While a single result is limited as a trend, Sashi winning on debut against a nominally higher-ranked Fnatic side is a relevant data point, particularly in online BO3 play. That result, combined with Sashi's stronger recent form, makes this closer than the ranking gap suggests.

Odds & betting angles

Fnatic will likely open as slight favourites around 1.60–1.80 given their higher HLTV ranking, implying a 56–63% win probability. However, the BO1 format dramatically compresses the edge — a single strong map performance from acoR or Cabbi can decide the match regardless of structural advantage. Sashi's recent win over Fnatic and their better short-term form make them a genuine BO1 upset candidate at 2.20–2.50. The map veto will be critical — Fnatic's map pool is narrow in their current transitional state, and Sashi are experienced enough to exploit that.

Prediction & tip

Fnatic edge it in a coin-flip BO1. The ranking gap is real but compressed by the format, the recent H2H, and Sashi's better current form. Fnatic's experience advantage via KRIMZ just about tips the balance in a match that could easily go either way.

• Confidence: 55% — this is as close to a 50/50 as it gets.
• Top tip: Fnatic to win — marginal ranking and experience edge.
• Value tip: Sashi moneyline at 2.20+ — recent form is better, won the only H2H, and BO1 variance is massive.
• Note: Avoid heavy stakes on either side. This is a low-confidence BO1 between two inconsistent mid-tier teams and the result is highly volatile.