20.02.2026 18:00 CET


Weโve got a best-of-three CS2 clash between FURIA and The MongolZ at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 โ a matchup pitting a top-tier roster against a talented but inconsistent underdog. According to the moneyline odds shown on the HLTV match page, this is priced as a clear favourite vs underdog situation, but not a complete stomp. Thereโs still room for a map or two from The MongolZ if they catch the right pace.
๐ Odds Snapshot & Market Expectation
The best bookmaker odds visible for this matchup are roughly:
Translated into implied probabilities:
Even after adjusting for bookmaker margin, the market clearly expects FURIA to win most of the time but still allows a real chance for The MongolZ to take this in an upset or at least snag a map.
๐ง Team Breakdown โ FURIA
FURIA are one of the top-ranked CS2 squads in the world right now, and it shows in their playstyle. They tend to:
That combination makes them particularly tough in a BO3: they can draft wisely, avoid uncomfortable maps, and close series without giving the opponent much breathing room.
In general, FURIAโs consistency and structure โ especially on CT side โ give them the edge in almost every map scenario.
๐ง Team Breakdown โ The MongolZ
The MongolZ have shown impressive individual plays and can threaten opponents with aggression and swift mid-round cuts. There have been moments when they upset higher-ranked teams and take maps off big names, showing theyโre not pushovers.
Their strengths lie in:
The downside? Against elite teams like FURIA, if The MongolZ fall behind early in economy or lose key utility battles, they quickly get pressured into resets and lose map control. To upset, they need strong starts, clean pistol sets, and confident mid-round reads that donโt leave them scrambling.
๐ Prediction & Expected Outcomes
Given the implied ~80โ82% win probability for FURIA:
FURIA 2โ0: Most likely outcome. Their structured play and map control make a sweep the biggest single probability.
FURIA 2โ1: Second most likely. The MongolZ can absolutely take a map if they start strong or catch FURIA off rhythm.
The MongolZ 2โ1: Underdog upset scenario. Possible if The MongolZ win map one and ride momentum, but still unlikely.
The MongolZ 2โ0: Least likely. This would require FURIA to collapse early and consistently.
A realistic distribution looks like:
๐ฐ Betting Angles & Value
๐ Core Pick โ FURIA to Win:
๐ Map Spread โ FURIA โ1.5:
๐ Total Maps โ Over 2.5:
๐ฅ Alternative โ The MongolZ to Take a Map:
๐ฎ Final Tipster Take
FURIAโs structure and discipline make them the smart favourite, but The MongolZ have shown enough spark to snag individual maps when they find early momentum โ making this tier of tournament CS2 fun to watch and bet.
rand1919
rand1919
Leaderboard rank: 0
Points
+31
Correct/incorrect
63/32
Pick %
66%
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