FURIA vs Team Spirit - PGL Astana 2026

Spirit have won four of their last five matches, including back-to-back 2-0s against MongolZ and The Huns heading into this tournament. Their 78% winrate over the last month is not a fluke. It reflects a side playing with genuine momentum and structural confidence across the map pool. FURIA, by contrast, dropped three of their last five, including a 0-2 loss to Falcons where they were heavy underdogs to win.

The map pool tells the real story. Spirit's Dust2 is arguably the second best in the world right now at 81% across 21 maps, and their Ancient at 73% is a direct counter to one of FURIA's biggest weaknesses. FURIA ban Ancient 90% of the time precisely because they cannot play it, sitting at 0% winrate there. If FURIA misvetoes or gets forced onto it, the match is effectively over before it starts. Spirit's only real vulnerability is Nuke at 44%, which is exactly where FURIA are strong at 61%, so expect that map to be contested and potentially decisive.

The head-to-head record reinforces the gap. FURIA win just 42% of matches against Spirit historically, and nothing in their recent run suggests that number is about to shift in their favor. Spirit are the stronger, hotter, and deeper team right now.

Thunderpick odds(at time of writing):

Team Spirit to win 1.58

FURIA to win 2.20