Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - The International 2026 EU CQ

Spirit's recent form tells a straightforward story. Back-to-back 2-0 wins over VP.Prodigy and Enjoy confirm the team is peaking at exactly the right moment. A 100% win rate last month underlines that momentum. The only blemish is a loss to Team Yandex, and even that looks like a one-off given the broader context.

Nigma present a genuine challenge on paper. A 4-0 run including a statement win over Natus Vincere shows they are not sleepwalking into this qualifier. Their 83% H2H win rate over Spirit in historical meetings will give the players confidence, and back-to-back 2-0 qualifier wins suggest a team that knows how to close out games cleanly.

However, H2H records only go so far. Nigma's drop from a 58% yearly win rate to 51% over the last six months points to a team that is not as consistent as their surface results suggest. Spirit, by contrast, carry $75k in recent earnings and a tightening win rate curve that trends upward. In a high-stakes qualifier setting, that form trajectory tips the balance.

Thunderpick odds(at time of writing):

Nigma Galaxy to win 3.43

Team Spirit to win 1.28