Fluxo vs NIP - StarLadder Budapest Major 2025

Fluxo's recent results tell a damning story that their 88% monthly winrate cannot hide. Three consecutive defeats to FlyQuest, fnatic, and GamerLegion within the last day reveal a team crumbling under pressure at the worst possible moment. Their analytics show long-term inconsistency, dropping from 88% last month to just 60% over the half-year, suggesting their hot streak was an outlier rather than sustainable form. The team's extreme Dust2 aversion (96% first-ban rate) also limits their map pool flexibility in a best-of-one format.

Ninjas in Pyjamas counter with something far more valuable than statistics: Their back-to-back wins over FaZe and Lynn Vision demonstrate a team peaking when it matters most. The upset victory against FaZe as 4.14 underdogs particularly stands out, showing NiP can elevate their game against elite opposition. While their 40% monthly winrate raises concerns, tournament performance trumps ladder results, and NiP's ability to clutch important matches gives them the mental edge.

The 1.33 odds reflect market confidence in NiP's superior form trajectory. Fluxo enters this match reeling and searching for answers, while the Ninjas have already proven they belong on the Major stage. Expect NiP to capitalize on their opponent's fragile confidence and secure a convincing opening victory.