19.06.2026 15:45 CET


Spirit enter IEM Cologne with quiet momentum, and G2 may have peaked at the wrong time.
Spirit's run into this match tells a simple story: five straight wins, each one against a credible opponent. The squad beat 9z twice, bounced back from a loss to Aurora, and handled Natus Vincere with composure. That kind of consistency under playoff pressure is not accidental. Their 71% winrate on Ancient gives them a reliable map to lean on, and teams that enter the bracket with that level of structural confidence are dangerous to everyone.
G2 look dominant on paper, and they are. A 12-match winstreak and a 100% winrate last month are numbers that command respect. But the recent form card has a crack in it: back-to-back losses to Falcons and Aurora in the last week suggest the streak may have stalled at the right moment for Spirit. G2 are also locked into avoiding Inferno, which narrows their veto options and hands some leverage to Spirit before a single round is played.
The head-to-head history seals it. G2 have not beaten Spirit in five straight meetings. That is not a coincidence, it is a pattern. Spirit understand how to neutralize what G2 want to do tactically, and that psychological edge matters on a Major stage where both teams are operating at the highest level.
Thunderpick odds(at time of writing):
Spirit to win 1.25
G2 to win 3.57
ChaiViz
ChaiViz
Leaderboard rank: 0
Points
+35
Correct/incorrect
84/49
Pick %
63%
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