Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - IEM Rio 2026

Team Falcons arrive in red-hot shape, riding a three-match winning streak that includes a clean 2-0 over Spirit just three days ago. Their Mirage dominance is the centerpiece of their veto strategy, with a 75% winrate and a near-automatic first pick. Spirit's 43% winrate on that same map is a glaring vulnerability, and Falcons will exploit it without hesitation.

Spirit are not without weapons. Their Dust2 and Ancient numbers are strong, and they have looked sharp with four wins in five recent outings. But their veto is rigid. Banning Inferno almost every time leaves them predictable, and Falcons' coaching staff has already had the blueprint to expose them. When the map pool narrows, Spirit run out of safe ground fast.

The deciding factor is momentum and mental edge. Falcons beat Spirit 2-0 days ago, and they are walking into this rematch as the hotter, more confident side. Spirit's only recent blemish is that very loss. Falcons carry both the statistical and psychological advantage into this playoff clash.

Thunderpick odds(at time of writing):

Team Falcons to win 1.58

Team Spirit to win 2.20