Team Tundra vs Team Spirit - DreamLeague Season 28: Group Stage 1

Twelve days ago, Team Spirit sent Tundra Esports home with a 1-0 defeat. Now the rematch arrives while Tundra are in freefall, having lost four of their last five matches. For Spirit, the question is whether they can exploit a wounded rival. For Tundra, the question is whether a team this deep in a losing streak can still find the version of themselves that earned a 65% winrate across the last six months.

Spirit's recent numbers reveal a team in quiet crisis. A 64% winrate over the past year built their reputation as a consistent top-level outfit. Then the last month arrived, and that figure crashed to 47%. Their run of three wins and two losses in recent matches looks balanced on paper but masks a worrying pattern: the wins came against REKONIX and Tundra in their current diminished form, while the losses landed against Xtreme Gaming and Team Yandex, opponents who should not be routing them. A draw against MOUZ in their most recent outing adds uncertainty rather than comfort.

Tundra's situation is almost a mirror image. Their 65% winrate across the last half-year represents genuine structural quality, not a fluke sample. But their immediate form is a wreck: losses to HEROIC and Team Falcons, two draws against Xtreme Gaming and MOUZ, and zero wins in their last five competitive outings. Walking into a Bo2 rematch against the team that just beat them, carrying that weight, demands something extraordinary from their draft room and individual execution.

The 40% overall win rate against Spirit is Tundra's most uncomfortable number. In tight formats, historical patterns have momentum. Spirit know exactly how to beat this version of Tundra. Tundra must present a version Spirit have not yet studied.

Tundra takes this series in a split Bo2 based on medium-term structural quality and preparation depth overcoming Spirit's recent form advantage. Spirit are inconsistent enough right now that Tundra's stability across a longer sample becomes the deciding variable.

Alternative scenario sees Team Spirit claiming both maps if their collapsed form reflects a temporary tactical slump rather than deeper structural erosion, allowing their matchup-specific confidence from the February 5 victory to carry through both games.

Odds:

Tundra Esports 1.42

Team Spirit 2.55